The high cost of fuel, with the resulting ethanol boom, continues to push corn and other animal feed prices higher. In 1990, the amount of U.S. grown corn used to produce ethanol was approximately 300 million bushels. By contrast, this year, some 2.3 billion bushels of corn will go to ethanol. In 2008, the figure is projected to climb to 3.8 billion, and by 2011, projections call for well over five billion bushels of corn to be made into ethanol. An Example of the Potential Impact of AGRASTIM® on the US Poultry Industry The broiler industry in the United States processed an average of 174.8 million chickens per week in 2006. Broilers (chickens under 13 weeks old) constitute virtually all commercial chicken production. Based on the estimate (McDevitt et al, 2006) that necrotic enteritis costs the industry 5 cents per bird, the cost to the industry of this disease alone is approximately $8.75 million dollars per week. The cost to feed Agrastim® is approximately 2.4 cents for the lifetime of the bird. Feeding Agrastim® could result in a potential net savings of $4.55 million per week in current losses attributable to necrotic enteritis for the entire U.S. broiler industry.
Note to calculation method: In the absence of sufficient published data for the integrators ranked 11-38, an average number of units per pound was derived from the published data for the integrators ranked 1-10. (The top ten ranking integrators account for 76% of the market share.) The average number of pounds of ready to eat chicken per unit produced by integrators 1-10 was 4.2. This number was then multiplied by a factor of 1.25 to account for the difference between "live weight" and processed meat. (This allows for feet, feathers, entrails, etc). The resulting 5.25 pounds average live weight was used to calculate the number of units processed for integrators ranked 11-38. Agrastim® consumption calculations were based on the chart on page 22, and take losses into account. Many of the producers listed above are in the process of conducting their own testing on Agrastim®. One of those producers recently completed a series of tests, the results of which have been detailed above (Table 3). The U.S. broiler market, though the largest in the world, represents less than 35% of the worlds commercial broiler production. The USDA estimates that, in 2008, approximately 16,536,000 metric tons of broiler meat will be produced. The combined U.S. and international broiler markets alone, represent potential Agrastim® sales of nearly $1,546,000,000 annually. |